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Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

The Royal Society

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences's content profile, based on 53 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.05% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Social mobility and long-term episodic memory in Britain

Tampubolon, G.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350709 medRxiv
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Population ageing increases the importance of cognitive capacity for making decisions about retirement and living independently beyond it. We tested whether post-war educational expansion and working-life social mobility eliminate the association between social class of origin and cognition in early old age using the 1958 National Child Development Study. Two outcomes were analysed at age 62: standard episodic memory (immediate + delayed word recall) and long-term episodic memory, capturing accurate half-century recall of childhood household facts (rooms and people at age 11 validated against mothers' responses). Social mobility trajectories derived in prior work were classified into predominantly manual versus non-manual class trajectories. Models were estimated separately for women and men across three specifications: (i) social origin and controls, (ii) adding social mobility, and (iii) adding weighting to address healthy survivor bias. Education was consistently associated with both outcomes. For long-term episodic memory, social origin gradients were clearer than for short-term episodic memory, with men from service/professional origins showing a 13 percentage-point higher probability of accurate half-century recall than men from manual origins. These findings indicate that education expansion and working-life social mobility failed to release the grip of social origin on long-term episodic memory.

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Benefit take-up in the last year of life: a population-based study using linked data for England and Wales

Davies, J. M.; Fairs, A.; Ayoubkhani, D.; Marshall, S.; Diggle, M.; Bradshaw, A.; French, M.; Stone, J.; Hussain, J.; Fimister, G.; Harding, R.; Sleeman, K.; Nafilyan, V.

2026-04-11 palliative medicine 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350614 medRxiv
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Context: In the UK, and in other countries, people living with a terminal illness are eligible for financial support to help with the costs of serious illness and to support their dignity and independence. This study investigates the take-up of benefits in the last year of life and identifies sociodemographic, clinical, and geographical factors associated with underclaiming. Methods: Retrospective cohort study using linked mortality, Census and benefits data for all people who died aged 16+ from chronic illnesses in England and Wales between 1 May 2018 and 30 April 2021. Outcome was receipt of non-means tested disability benefits in the last 12 months of life. We describe geographical variation in take up, and association with sociodemographic, clinical and geographical exposures using Poisson models. Findings: Our population included 1,049,493 eligible decedents, with an overall take-up rate of 65.9%. After adjusting for sociodemographic factors, variation in take-up by cause of death was wide: liver disease 44% (95% CI 43, 45%), heart failure 52% (51, 52%), cancer 62% (61, 62%), dementia 75% (74, 75%), and neurodegenerative diseases 90% (88, 91%). Across Local Authorities, the age-and-sex-standardised take-up varied from 53% to 78%; rates were generally higher in more deprived areas, but not uniformly. Conclusions: In England and Wales, 1 in 3 people who die from expected causes (120,000 each year) do not receive the benefits for which they are eligible. Our analysis uses novel data linkages and highlights clinical and sociodemographic groups and geographical areas that could be targeted with proactive take-up initiatives.

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Prescribed Cardiac Wearables in Routine Care: a qualitative study of Patient Experiences

Zeng, A.; O'Hagan, E. T.; Trivedi, R.; Ford, B.; Perry, T.; Turnbull, S.; Sheahen, B.; Mulley, J.; Sedhom, M.; Choy, C.; Biasi, A.; Walters, S.; Miranda, J. J.; Chow, C. K.; Laranjo, L.

2026-04-11 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350550 medRxiv
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Background: Continuous adhesive patch electrocardiographic (ECG) wearables are increasingly prescribed. Patient experience with these devices can influence adherence, but research in this area is limited. This study aimed to explore the perceptions and experiences of patients receiving wearable cardiac monitoring technology as part of their routine care through the lens of treatment burden. Methods: This was a qualitative study with semi-structured phone interviews conducted between February and May 2024. We recruited participants from primary care and outpatient clinics using maximum variation sampling to ensure diversity in sex, ethnicity, and education levels. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed, and analysed using reflexive thematic analysis. Results: Sixteen participants (mean age 51 years, 63% female) were interviewed (average duration: 33 minutes). Three themes were developed: 1) ?Experience using the device: Burden vs Ease of Use?, which captured participants? perceptions of how easily they could integrate the device in their daily lives; 2) ?Individual variability in responses to ECG self-monitoring? covered participants? emotional and cognitive response to knowing their heart rhythm was monitored; and 3) ?The care process shapes patient experiences? reflected support preferences during the set-up and monitoring period and the uncertainty regarding timely clinical and device feedback. Conclusions: Patients valued cardiac wearables for facilitating diagnosis and felt reassured knowing they were clinically monitored. However, gaps in information provided to patients seemed to cause anxiety for some participants. These concerns could be mitigated through clearer clinician communication and patient education at the time of prescription.

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Estimating the strength of symptom propagation from primary-secondary case pair data

Asplin, P.; Mancy, R.; Keeling, M. J.; Hill, E. M.

2026-04-13 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350037 medRxiv
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Symptom propagation occurs when the symptoms of secondary cases are related to those of the primary case as a result of epidemiological mechanisms. Determining whether - and to what extent - symptom propagation occurs requires data-driven methods. Here we quantify the strength of symptom propagation as the increase in risk of a secondary case developing severe symptoms if the primary case has severe symptoms. We first used synthetic results to determine the data requirements to robustly estimate the strength of symptom propagation and to investigate the effect of severity-dependent reporting bias. Categorising symptom severity into two group (mild or severe; asymptomatic or symptomatic), our estimation requires only four summary statistics - the number of primary-secondary case pairs of each combination of symptom presentations. Our analysis showed that a relatively small number (100) of synthetic primary-secondary case pairs was sufficient to obtain a reasonable estimate of the strength of symptom propagation and 1,000 pairs meant errors were consistently small across replicates. Our estimates were robust to severity-dependent reporting bias. We also explored how symptom propagation can be separated from other individual-level factors affecting severity, using age dependence as an example. Although synthetic data generated from an age-structured model led to overestimations of the strength of symptom propagation, allowing disease severity to be age-dependent restored the accuracy of parameter estimation. Finally, we applied our methodology to estimate the strength of symptom propagation from three publicly available data collected during the COVID-19 pandemic with data on presence or absence of symptoms: England households, Israel households, and Norway contact tracing. Our age-free methodology indicated a 12-17% increase in the risk of being symptomatic if infected by someone symptomatic. Our positive estimates for the strength of symptom propagation persisted when applying our age-dependent methodology to the two household data sets with age-structured information (England and Israel). These findings demonstrate evidence for symptom propagation of SARS-CoV-2 and provide consistent estimates for its strength. Our synthetic data analysis supports the conclusion that these correlations are not a result of reporting bias or age-dependent effects. This work provides a practical tool for estimating the strength of symptom propagation that has minimal data requirements, enabling application across a wide range of pathogens and epidemiological settings.

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The lingering legacy: Resilience mediates the long-term impact of organisational support on police retirement adjustment

Vaportzis, E.; Edwards, W.

2026-04-11 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26349526 medRxiv
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This study investigated retirement adjustment in retired police officers in the UK (N = 289), examining how time since leaving the service moderates the relationship between perceived organisational support and retirement adjustment while accounting for resilience. Results indicated a developmental trend: organisational support remains stable initially but becomes increasingly influential in later life. Using Johnson-Neyman analysis, a threshold of 32.07 years was identified, after which the association reaches statistical significance. These findings suggest an organisational legacy effect; for the older generation, the retrospective perception of being valued by the service acts as a durable psychological resource. This study offers a novel conceptualisation of long-term organisational influence by identifying a temporally delayed legacy effect that extends beyond existing models of retirement adjustment. The study advocate for lifelong wellbeing strategies that extend, recognising that the organisational relationship continues to shape adjustment outcomes decades after the conclusion of active duty.

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Informing Epidemic Control Strategies: A Spatial Metapopulation Model Incorporating Recurrent Mobility, Clustering, and Group-Structured Interactions

Smah, M. L.; Seale, A.; Rock, K.

2026-04-11 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350398 medRxiv
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Infectious disease dynamics are strongly shaped by human mobility, social structure, and heterogeneous contact patterns, yet many epidemic models do not jointly capture these features. This study develops a spatial metapopulation epidemic model incorporating recurrent group-switch interactions to represent real-world transmission processes. Building on the Movement-Interaction-Return framework, the model integrates household structure, age-stratified contacts, and mobility between locations within a single SEIR framework. Using UK demographic, mobility, and social contact data, the model quantifies how within- and between-group interactions, mobility rates, and location connectivity influence epidemic spread. Both deterministic and stochastic simulations are implemented to analyse outbreak dynamics, variability, and fade-out probabilities for COVID-19-like and Ebola-like infections. Results shows that highly connected locations drive faster transmission, earlier epidemic peaks, and greater difficulty in containment, whereas larger but less connected locations tend to produce slower, more localised outbreaks despite their population size. Comparative analysis reveals that COVID-19-like infections spread rapidly and remain difficult to control even under interventions, while Ebola-like infections exhibit slower dynamics and are more effectively contained, particularly under targeted measures. Non-pharmaceutical interventions, particularly widespread closures, substantially reduce infections, hospitalisations, and deaths, although effectiveness depends on timing and pathogen characteristics. These findings highlight the importance of integrating mobility, clustering, and demographic heterogeneity to inform targeted and effective epidemic control strategies.

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No One Left Behind: Adaptive Tablet Modalities for Digitally Excluded Emergency Department Patients Design, Implementation, and Social Evidence for an Impairment-First Interface

Chowdhury, A.; Irtiza, A.

2026-04-13 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350686 medRxiv
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Background: The urgent care departments in Europe face a structural paradox: accelerating digitalisation is accompanied by a patient population that is disproportionately unable to engage with standard digital tools. An internal analysis at the Emergency Department (Akutafdelingen) of Nordsjaellands Hospital in Hilleroed, Denmark found that 43% of emergency patients struggle with digital solutions - a figure that reflects the predictable composition of acute care populations rather than any individual failing. Objective: This paper presents the design, iterative development, and secondary validation of the ED Adaptive Interface (v5): a prototype adaptive patient terminal developed in response to this challenge. The system operationalises what the author terms impairment-first design - a methodology that treats the most constrained patient experience as the primary design problem and derives the standard experience as a subset. The interface configures itself in under ten seconds via nurse-led setup, adapting across four axes of impairment: visual, motor, speech, and cognitive. System: Version 4 supports five accessibility modes, a heatmap pain assessment grid, a Privacy and Dignity panel, a live workflow tracker with care notifications, structured dual-category help requests, and plain-language medical term definitions across four languages. Version 5, reported here for the first time, introduces a Condition Worsening Escalation button, a Referral Pathway Display, a "Why Am I Waiting?" triage explainer, a Symptom Progression Log, MinSP/Yellow Card Scan simulation, expanded language support (seven languages: English, Danish, Arabic with full RTL layout, Turkish, Romanian, Polish, and Somali), and an expanded ten-item Communication Board. The entire system runs as a single 79-kilobyte HTML file with zero infrastructure requirements. Methods: To base the design on patient-generated evidence, two independent social media threads were subjected to an inductive thematic analysis (Braun and Clarke, 2006): a primary corpus of 83 entries in the Facebook group Foreigners in Denmark (collected March 2026) and a corroborating corpus in an international community group in the Aarhus region (collected April 2026). All identifiers in both datasets were fully anonymised under GDPR Article 89 research provisions prior to analysis. No participants were contacted. Generative AI tools were used to assist with drafting, writing, and prototype code development; all scientific content, data collection, analysis, and conclusions are the sole responsibility of the authors. Results: The first discourse corpus produced five major themes corresponding to the five problem areas the prototype was designed to address: system navigation and triage literacy gaps (31 entries); language and cultural barriers (6 entries); communication failures during care (5 entries); staff overload and capacity constraints (8 entries); and pain and severity assessment failures (14 entries). The corroborating dataset supported all five themes and introduced two additional themes: differential treatment of international patients and medical gaslighting as a long-term pattern of patient advocacy failure. One structural finding - the five most-liked comments incorrectly criticised the original poster for self-referring when she had received explicit 1813 telephone triage approval - directly inspired the Referral Pathway Display and "Why Am I Waiting?" features in v5. Conclusions: The convergence of design rationale and independent social evidence across all five problem categories suggests that impairment-first design is not a niche accessibility concern but a structural approach to healthcare interface quality. The prototype is ready for a structured clinical pilot using the System Usability Scale (SUS) and semi-structured staff interviews. The long-term roadmap includes full MinSP integration, hospital PMS connectivity, and clinical validation.

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Female genital cutting and maternal attitudes about it: Testing a cultural disempowerment hypothesis

Strand, P. S.; Trang, J. C.

2026-04-16 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350909 medRxiv
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Female genital cutting (FGC) is identified within global health and human rights discourse as aligned with gender inequality and female disempowerment. The persistence of FGC in high-prevalence societies is assumed to reflect womens limited influence over decisions concerning their daughters. Yet anthropological research has questioned whether this interpretation adequately reflects how FGC is organized within practicing communities. Across two studies with 176,728 participants from 15 African and Asian countries, we examine whether mothers attitudes toward FGC predict daughters circumcision status and whether this relationship varies with regional FGC prevalence. Multilevel logistic regression models show that maternal attitudes strongly predict daughter circumcision status across both datasets. Contrary to expectations derived from disempowerment frameworks, the association between maternal attitudes and daughter outcomes is not weaker in high-prevalence contexts, it is stronger. These findings suggest that interpretations of FGC as reflecting female disempowerment may mischaracterize the social dynamics of societies in which FGC is common. Policy implications of the findings are discussed.

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Optimising Remote Consulting and Home Assessment of Medically Vulnerable Rural Patients During Unscheduled and Planned Primary Care: Assessing the Feasibility of ORCHARD Intervention -A Feasibility Study

Murchie, P.; Adam, R.; Naqvi, S. A.; Ntessalean, M.

2026-04-13 primary care research 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350378 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic significantly accelerated the adoption of telemedicine, but it also exposed gaps in effective remote clinical assessment, particularly for medically vulnerable patients in rural areas. The ORCHARD intervention aimed to address this by providing patients with a Medical Self-Assessment Box to enable self-reporting of vital signs during remote consultations. MethodsA single-centre randomised mixed-methods feasibility trial recruited medically vulnerable patients from a rural general practice in Northeast Scotland. Participants in intervention group received a home medical equipment box for use during telemedicine consultations over six months. Patients and GPs were interviewed and transcripts were analysed using Framework Analysis. ResultsTwelve (15%) of 82 eligible invited patients enrolled. Six each were allocated to intervention and control group. 50%(n=3)patients in intervention group used equipment in 45%(5 of 11)teleconsultations and rated it helpful in all 5 uses (100%). The intervention group had 18% fewer primary care contacts than controls. All remote consultations were by telephone. Framework Analysis of patient interviews identified facilitators such as ease of use, improved triage access, reassurance, and barriers related to GP non-engagement and written instructions. GP interviews identified clinical value in patient-generated readings, alongside concerns regarding workload and patient over-monitoring. ConclusionsHalf of intervention participants used the medical-equipment box during remote consultations, all finding it useful, though frequency of use varied among particpants.A randomised controlled trial to evaluate the effectiveness of the Medical Self-Assessment Box for optimising remote consulting in medically vulnerable rural patients is feasible.Prior to a definitive trial refinements are recommended to patient labelling, GP engagement, and training materials.

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GPS Mobility Tracking, Ecological Momentary Assessment, and Qualitative Interviewing to Specify How Space Produces Intersectional Health Inequities: Development and Pilot Testing of the Spatial Intersectionality Health Framework (SIHF) and IGEMA Methodology

Cook, S. H.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350546 medRxiv
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Background. Young sexual and gender minorities of color face compound health risks shaped by interlocking systems of racism, cisgenderism, and class inequality. Spatial health research documents that place shapes health, but existing methods cannot specify the mechanisms through which spatial configurations produce different health outcomes for differently positioned people. This gap prevents targeted intervention. ObjectiveTo develop and pilot test the Spatial Intersectionality Health Framework (SIHF), which specifies three mechanisms through which space produces intersectional health inequities: Layered (multiple oppressive systems activating simultaneously), Positional (the same space producing different health pathways by intersectional position), and Conditional (nominally protective spaces carrying hidden costs for specific positions). We also introduce and validate Intersectional Geographically-Explicit Ecological Momentary Assessment (IGEMA) as the methodology operationalizing SIHF across three data levels. MethodsThe GeoSense study enrolled 32 young sexual and gender minorities of color (ages 18-29) in New York City. IGEMA was implemented across three integrated levels: (1) GPS mobility tracking via participants personal smartphones, linked to census tract structural exposure indices across n=19 participants; (2) ecological momentary assessment of intersectional discrimination with multilevel modeling of mood, stress, and sleep outcomes; and (3) map-guided qualitative interviews with SIHF mechanism coding and intercoder reliability assessment across 92 coded records from 18 participants. This study was conducted as the pilot for NIH R01HL169503. ResultsAll three SIHF mechanisms were empirically detectable. A compound structural gendered racism index outperformed every single-axis alternative in predicting daily mood (b=-0.048, p=.001) and stress (b=0.121, p<.001). The Positional mechanism accounted for 71% of coded harm experiences. Intercoder reliability for mechanism assignment reached kappa=0.824 at Stage 2 reconciliation. Daily intersectional discrimination predicted greater sleep disturbance (b=1.308, p=.004). ConclusionsSIHF and IGEMA together provide an empirically testable framework for specifying how space produces intersectional health inequities. Mechanism specification, not spatial location alone, is the condition for designing research and intervention that reaches the source of harm for multiply marginalized populations.

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Patient-Centred Communication in Lung Cancer Screening: A Clinically Focussed Evaluation of a Fine-Tuned Open-Source Model Against a Larger Frontier System

Khanna, S.; Chaudhary, R.; Narula, N.; Lee, R.

2026-04-11 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350595 medRxiv
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Lung cancer screening saves lives, yet uptake remains suboptimal and inequitable. Personalised communication can improve attendance and reduce anxiety, but scaling such support is a workforce challenge. We fine-tuned Googles Gemma 2 9B using QLoRA on 5,086 synthetic screening conversations and compared it against Googles Gemini 2.5 Flash (a larger frontier model) and an unmodified baseline across 300 multi-turn conversations with 100 patient personas spanning ten clinical categories. Evaluation combined automated natural language processing metrics with independent language model judgement in two complementary modes: structured clinical rubric and simulated patient persona. The fine-tuned model achieved the highest simulated patient experience score (3.71/5 vs 3.65 for the frontier model), recorded zero boundary violations after clinician review of all flagged instances, and led on the four most safety-critical categories. A composite Patient Adaptation Index showed that the fine-tuned model led overall (0.37 vs 0.35 vs 0.35), with its clearest advantage on the two clinically specific components: empathy calibration to patient distress and selective smoking cessation signposting. These findings suggest that targeted fine-tuning of open-source models can yield clinical communication quality comparable to larger proprietary systems, with advantages in safety-critical scenarios and suitability for NHS data governance constraints. Human clinician review of these conversations is ongoing.

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Frequency of bacterial STI testing amongst people accessing sexual health services in England, 2024: a cross-sectional analysis of national surveillance data

Baldry, G.; Harb, A.-K.; Findlater, L.; Ogaz, D.; Migchelsen, S. J.; Fifer, H.; Saunders, J.; Mohammed, H.; Sinka, K.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26349546 medRxiv
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ObjectivesWe determined the frequency of sexually transmitted infection (STI) testing among people accessing sexual health services (SHS) in England. MethodsWe assessed STI testing frequency in face-to-face and online SHSs in England using data from the GUMCAD STI surveillance system. We quantified different combinations of tests (e.g. single chlamydia test or full STI screen), number of tests completed in 2024 and test positivity by sociodemographic and behavioural characteristics, as well as clinical setting and outcomes. ResultsOverall, there were 2,222,028 attendances at SHS in England in 2024 that involved tests for chlamydia, gonorrhoea, syphilis and/or HIV. Most of these attendances involved tests for all four of these STIs. Most people accessing SHS in England tested once (80.1%), and a small minority (1.9%) tested at least quarterly (4+ times). Some groups had a comparably larger proportion of quarterly testers; these included gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM) (6.7%), London residents (3.6%), online testers (2.5%), people using HIV-PrEP (13%), and people with 5+ partners in the previous 3 months (10.6%). Only 10.5% of GBMSM reporting higher-risk sexual behaviours tested quarterly despite recommendations for quarterly testing in this group. ConclusionsThe majority of those who tested for STIs in England in 2024 only tested once. The minority who tested at least quarterly had a higher proportion of GBMSM, people using HIV-PrEP, London residents and people reporting higher risk behaviours. Quarterly testing often appears to be aligned with current testing recommendations in England; however, we also observed that only a low proportion of behaviourally high-risk GBMSM and HIV-PrEP users are meeting these recommendations. It is important to acknowledge groups with lower or higher testing frequency when developing interventions and updating guidelines related to STI testing. WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ON THIS TOPICThe effectiveness of asymptomatic testing for chlamydia and gonorrhoea in gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM), and the potential impact of the consequent increased antibiotic use on rising antimicrobial resistance and individual harm has recently been questioned. Testing and treatment remains a key pillar of STI prevention and management; despite this, there is limited evidence of STI testing frequency within sexual services (SHS) on a national level. WHAT THIS STUDY ADDSThis analysis shows that the majority of people attending SHSs in England in 2024 tested once, and only a small proportion of behaviourally high-risk people tested frequently. HOW THIS STUDY MIGHT AFFECT RESEARCH, PRACTICE OR POLICYAwareness of groups that are behaviourally high risk but testing infrequently is important to guide interventions and messaging regarding STI testing. The low levels of frequent testing, even among those who would be recommended quarterly testing under UK guidelines, provides important context for wider discussion around asymptomatic STI screening.

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Sexual risk behaviours following medical male circumcision: a matched pseudo-cohort analysis using population-based survey data

Mwakazanga, D. K.; daka, v.; Gwasupika, J. K.; Dombola, A. K.; Kapungu, K. K.; Khondowe, S.; Chongwe, G. K.; Fwemba, I.; Ogundimu, E.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350676 medRxiv
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Medical male circumcision (MMC) is an established HIV prevention intervention, yet concerns persist that circumcised men may adopt higher-risk sexual behaviours following the procedure. Evidence from observational studies has been inconsistent, partly because many analyses do not adequately distinguish behaviours that occur before circumcision from those that occur afterward. This study assessed the association between MMC and subsequent sexual behaviours while demonstrating how population-based cross-sectional survey data can be adapted to address this temporal challenge. We analysed nationally representative data from the 2024 Zambia Demographic and Health Survey (ZDHS), including men aged 15 - 59 years who reported their circumcision status. Men who had undergone medical circumcision were compared with uncircumcised men using a matched pseudo-cohort framework that reconstructed temporal ordering based on age at circumcision. Propensity score overlap weighting was applied to improve comparability between circumcised and uncircumcised men, and odds ratios were estimated using logistic regression models incorporating overlap weights and accounting for the complex survey design. Sexual behaviour outcomes occurring after circumcision included condom non-use at last sexual intercourse, multiple sexual partners in the past 12 months, self-reported sexually transmitted infection (STI) symptoms, and composite measures of sexual risk behaviour. The analysis included 9,609 men, of whom 33.3% were medically circumcised. MMC was associated with lower odds of condom non-use at last sexual intercourse (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67 - 0.85) and lower odds of reporting any sexual risk behaviour (aOR = 0.83, 95% CI: 0.72 - 0.95). No meaningful associations were observed between MMC and reporting multiple sexual partners, self-reported STI symptoms, or higher levels of composite sexual risk behaviour. In this population-based study, MMC was not associated with sexual risk compensation under routine programme conditions within the overlap population defined by the weighting scheme, supporting the behavioural safety of MMC and illustrating the value of explicitly addressing temporality when analysing behavioural outcomes using cross-sectional survey data.

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Intersectoral collaboration and community voice in a marginalized neighbourhood: A longitudinal social network analysis

van Lammeren, R.; Schalk, J.; van der Pas, S.; Bussemaker, J.

2026-04-11 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350579 medRxiv
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In this article we argue that intersectoral collaboration is ultimately manifested at the neighbourhood level, where professionals from diverse sectors engage in a joint network to improve population health outcomes. To strengthen intersectoral collaboration in neighbourhoods with low SES, it is crucial to include the community voice, representing diverse citizens who must be heard and engaged in decision-making processes. This study aims to contribute to the literature of intersectoral collaboration by exploring how networks emerge and evolve over time. We focus on the development of the roles of citizens in the professional network and diverse sectoral involvement within a local network of the team called The Connectors, in a neighbourhood with low socioeconomic scores (SESs). Methodologically, we use a combination of social network analysis (SNA) and action research. Results show that the network expanded significantly over time, both in terms of the number of actors and the diversity of sectors involved. At both measurement points T1 and T2, the majority of collaborations occurred across sectoral boundaries. By the second measurement, the proportion of intersectoral relationships had increased. This indicates that as the network expanded, new collaborations were not confined to existing sectoral clusters but increasingly bridged different sectors. The dual role that citizens have taken on during the development of the network, serving both as community voice representatives and professionals, can be empowering, offering pathways for personal growth and career advancement. However, it also introduces complexity, as these individuals may experience tensions between personal commitments and professional responsibilities. To enable network development, policies should allow room beyond standard protocols and organizational silos, as well as provide sufficient time for relationships and structures to mature. Although network building is a gradual and complex process, once established, these networks can play a pivotal role in delivering integrated and responsive care.

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Childhood cancer in singletons conceived via medically assisted reproduction in Australia: a population-based cohort study

Walker, A. R.; Vajdic, C. M.; Anazodo, A. C.; Hacker, N. F.; Opdahl, S.; Chapman, M.; Sansom-Daly, U. M.; Jorm, L.; Norman, R. J.; Stern, C.; Chambers, G. M.; Venetis, C.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350447 medRxiv
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1.Study questionDo singletons conceived by medically assisted reproduction (MAR) experience an elevated incidence of childhood cancers and are they at a greater risk of such cancers compared to naturally-conceived singletons? Summary answerWe found no strong evidence the adjusted risk of childhood cancers is increased for MAR-conceived singletons. What is known alreadyThere is longstanding concern children conceived via MAR may be at increased risk of childhood cancer. Current epidemiological evidence does not support such a relationship. Study design, size, durationWe conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study of 5,104,121 singletons born in Australia between 1991 and 2019. Median follow-up time varied from 4 to 10 years depending on mode of conception. Participants/materials, setting, methodsWe linked birth records to public medical insurance data of the mother to ascertain MAR conception. We classified treatment as ovulation induction/intrauterine insemination (OI/IUI) or assisted reproductive technology (ART; IVF/ICSI), with ART coded as either fresh embryo transfer or frozen embryo transfer. The cohort included 4,924,354 naturally-conceived singletons and 179,767 singletons conceived via MAR. We calculated standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) to ascertain differences in population incidence of childhood cancer, and generated hazard ratios (HRs) using flexible parametric survival models controlling for key confounders. We report absolute incidence and risk differences for both statistical approaches. Main results and the role of chanceThere was no increase in the incidence or risk of all childhood cancers combined for singletons conceived via MAR, either any MAR or specific MAR types. There was some evidence the incidence of leukemias, myeloproliferative diseases, and myelodysplastic diseases was increased after ART compared to the general population (SIR: 1.32, 95% CI 1.02-1.68; equating to 2.09, 95% CI 0.13-4.44 extra cancers per 100,000 person-years), but no increased risk after adjusting for available confounders (HR: 1.04, 95% CI 0.73-1.46). These cancers showed increased incidence and risk for those conceived via IVF (SIR: 1.54, 95% CI 1.01-2.26; HR: 1.77, 95% CI 1.06-2.95), but not ICSI (SIR: 1.27, 95% CI 0.83-1.85; HR: 0.76, 95% CI 0.48-1.22). Incidence of renal tumours was elevated after IVF (SIR: 2.37, 95% CI 1.02-4.67; equating to 1.83, 95% CI 0.03-3.99 extra cancers per 100,000 person-years) and frozen transfer ART (SIR: 2.52, 95% CI 1.09-4.97; equating to 2.12, 95%CI 0.12-5.53 extra cancers per 100,000 person-years), however risk was not elevated after adjusting for available confounders (HR: 1.06, 95% CI 0.47-2.38; and HR: 1.63, 95% CI 0.73-3.61 respectively). Limitations, reasons for cautionWe did not have information on parental cause of infertility, which could be a confounder for childhood cancer, although we did adjust for parental history of cancer. For many specific cancer types, fewer than 50 cases were observed in total. Given the number of comparisons reported and closeness of the lower-bound confidence interval to 1, we cannot exclude that a significant association between conception via IVF and leukemias, myeloproliferative diseases, and myelodysplastic diseases reflects a type I error. Wider implications of the findingsOur findings align generally with published meta-analyses on the risk of childhood cancers following MAR conception and reinforce the need for very large studies to increase confidence. Parents who have conceived via MAR and their offspring can be reassured there is not strong evidence the treatments increase the overall incidence or risk of childhood cancer. Study funding/competing interest(s)This work was funded by the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC: APP1164852). Dr ARW declares that their involvement in this work was supported by employment at UNSW Sydney. Prof CMV declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852). Prof NH declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852); royalties and licenses for Berek and Hackets Gynecologic Oncology (Walters Kluwer); royalties and licenses for Hacker and Moores Essentials of Obstetrics and Gynecology (Elsevier); consulting fees from Darwin Hospital and Gold Coast University Hospital; support for attending the British Gynaecological Cancer Society meeting in Aberdeen, UK, Jun 2023; support for attending the Symposium on Gynaecological Cancer in Budapest, Hungary, Nov 2023; support for attending the International conference of the Rajiv Gandhi Cancer Centre in Delhi, India, Mar 2025; and membership of the Medical Advisory Committee for TruScreen (Australia and New Zealand). A/Prof SO declares that they received payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852); they received a grant from the European Society for Human Reproduction and Embryology (Open call 2022) including payment to their institution; and that they are a member of the Advisory Board of the Cervical Screening Program in Norway through The Norwegian Institute of Public Health (NIPH), for which they were reimbursed travel expenses to their institution. Prof MC declares support for Theramex European Society for Human Reproduction and Embryology registration and Fertility Society of Australia and New Zealand registration and accommodation. A/Prof USD declares that her involvement in this work was supported via an Early Career Fellowship from the Cancer Institute NSW (ID: 2020/ECF1163) and employment at UNSW Sydney. A/Prof USD also declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP2035240) and the Medical Research Future Fund (APP2032214; APP2038377), and the Australian Research Council (DP240100072) as well as current grants from NSW Health, Prince of Wales Hospital Foundation, and unpaid involvement as an Associate Editor for the "Journal of Psycho-Oncology Research and Practice". Prof LJ declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852). Prof RJN declares they are the Chair of the Clinical Advisory Committee, Westmead Fertility; External mentor at VinMec hospital; Editorial Editor at the journal "Fertility and Sterility"; and has received funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) for the NHMRC Centre for Research Excellence in Womens Health in Reproductive Life (CRE WHiRL). A/Prof CS declares stock or stock options associated with CSL Ltd, Sigma Healthcare Ltd, Resmed Inc, Medical Developments International Ltd, Vitrafy Life Sciences Ltd, Intuitive Surgical, and Steris PLC. Prof GMC declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852). Prof CV declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852); research grants receive from Merck KGaA and Ferring; payments for honoraria from Merk Ltd, Merk Sharpe & Dohme, Ferring, Organon, Gedeon-Richter for being an invited lecturer in scientific meetings/conferences on multiple occasions as well as member of advisory boards for these companies who have a commercial portfolio in the field of assisted reproduction technology (ART); and speaking fees from IBSA, Vianex, Sonapharm; travel support for their participation in scientific meetings/conferences both nationally and internationally, usually as an invited speaker for the following companies - Merck Ltd, Merck Sharpe & Dohme, Ferring, Organon, Gedeon-Richter; unpaid involvement as a Board member of the Hellenic Society of Fertility and Sterility, Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Human Reproduction", Senior Deputy of the Coordination Committee of the Special Interest Group "Reproductive Endocrinology" of the European Society for Human Reproduction and Embryology, Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "F&S Reviews", Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "RBM Online", Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Reproductive Biology & Endocrinology", Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Frontiers in Endocrinology", and Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Reproductive Sciences". SubjectReproductive epidemiology

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The Hospital Murals Evaluation: A mixed-methods evaluation of the impact of murals on patients, healthcare workers, and visitors

Sajnani, N.; Foster, M. W.; Oshodi, Y.; Sodimu, K. A.; Kolnik, M.; Pokorn, M.; Simpson, N.; Shaw, T.; Willmoth, S.; Marino, M.; Trinder, L.; Akisanya, E.; Onyekachi, E.; Bahr, E.; Blanchette, V.; Assistant, R.; Bolt, E.; Gong, Q.; Fenning, H. M.; Komolafe, D. O.; Murden, R.; Omuku, N.; Rowe, C.; Sanhueza, C.; Steer, T.; Trupp, M. D.; White, N.; Wu, Y.

2026-04-13 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350479 medRxiv
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ObjectiveThis study investigated how hospital murals influence the experiences of patients, healthcare staff, and visitors across four sites. BackgroundEvidence shows that visual art in healthcare settings can improve well-being but few studies focus specifically on murals or compare their effects across cultural contexts. The Hospital Murals Evaluation project addresses this gap through an investigation of murals in hospitals in Nigeria, Slovenia, the United Kingdom, and the United States. MethodsUsing a mixed methods cross-sectional design, the study integrated surveys, interviews, and participatory photography. A total of 525 unique responses were collected from 229 patients (131 adult, 98 pediatric), 245 staff, 49 visitors, and 2 undisclosed. ResultsInterviews across all three participant groups (n=115) revealed themes of positive affects, perception of care, as well as stress or indifference. Surveys (n=327) showed moderate positive correlations between mural viewing and positive emotions among patients, and between mural exposure and well-being, positive emotions, social connection, and workplace belonging among staff in the UK and USA, with null findings for staff in Nigeria and Slovenia. Participatory photography (n=83) illustrated how murals conveyed comfort, though abstract or poorly placed murals sometimes evoked discomfort. Meta-inferences across the methods indicate that viewing murals were associated with positive emotions for patients and did not induce negative emotions for staff or visitors. ConclusionMurals act as health-promoting infrastructure that can enhance well-being, foster positive experiences, and signal intentions of care. The findings highlight the need for culturally attuned designs to create healthcare environments that nurture well-being.

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Planned egg freezing over 15 years: return to treatment and success rates in Australia and New Zealand

Fitzgerald, O.; Keller, E.; Illingworth, P.; Lieberman, D.; Peate, M.; Kotevski, D.; Paul, R.; Rodino, I.; Parle, A.; Hammarberg, K.; Copp, T.; Chambers, G. M.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350362 medRxiv
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Study questionWhat are the characteristics and treatment outcomes of women who undertook planned egg freezing (PEF) in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023? Summary answerThere has been an average yearly increase in the uptake of PEF of 35%, with most women undergoing a single PEF procedure in their mid-thirties. Given ten years follow-up a little over one in four women return, with nearly half of those using donor sperm and one-third achieving a live birth. What is known alreadyPEF, where women freeze their eggs as a strategy to preserve fertility, has increased dramatically in high income countries in the last decade. Despite the rapid uptake of PEF, there remains limited information to guide women, clinicians and policy makers regarding the characteristics of women undertaking this procedure and treatment outcomes. Study design, size, durationA retrospective population-based cohort study of all women who undertook PEF in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023, including their subsequent return to thaw their eggs and treatment outcomes. Where women returned to utilise their eggs, all subsequent embryo transfer procedures were linked enabling calculation of live birth rates per woman. Participants/materials, setting, methods20,209 women who undertook PEF in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023 including 1,657 women who returned to thaw their eggs. Main results and the role of chanceThere has been a huge increase in uptake of PEF, from 55 women in 2009 to 4,919 in 2023. Women who freeze their eggs are typically aged 34-38 years (interquartile range) and nulliparous (98.6%). For women with at least 10 years follow-up (i.e. undertook PEF in 2009-13; N=514), 27.9% returned and thawed their frozen eggs (average time to return: 4.9 years). This reduced to 22.1% in those with at least 5 years follow-up (i.e. undertook PEF in 2009-2018; N=4,288). Of those who used their frozen eggs, 47% used donor sperm. After at least two years follow up, 33.9% had a live birth, rising over time to 37.8% for eggs thawed between 2019-2021. Limitations, reasons for cautionIn the timeframe 2009-2019 we did not have information on whether egg freezing occurred because of a cancer diagnosis, a cohort we wished to exclude from the study. As a result, for this timeframe we weighted observations by the probability that egg freezing occurred due to cancer, with the prediction model developed on the years 2020-2023. Wider implications of the findingsThis study provides recent and comprehensive data on PEF to guide prospective patients and clinicians and inform policy. The exponential growth in PEF in Australia and New Zealand mirrors trends in other high-income countries, suggesting a doubling time of 2-3 years. Study findings highlight the need for setting realistic expectations about the likelihood of returning to use frozen eggs and live birth rates. Study funding/competing interest(s)2020-2025 MRFF Emerging Priorities and Consumer Driven Research initiative: EPCD000014

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Clinical mechanism of ribavirin action in Hepatitis C treatment: insights from the STOPHCV-1 randomised trial

Moradi Marjaneh, M.; Badhan, A.; Chai, H.; Hadfield, O.; Chen, Y.; Wang, Z.; Thomson, E. C.; Taylor, G. P.; Walker, A. S.; Ansari, M. A.; Barnes, E.; Cooke, G. S.

2026-04-15 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350846 medRxiv
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Background: Ribavirin is a guanosine analogue with clinical antiviral activity against a range of RNA viruses including hepatitis C virus (HCV), respiratory syncytial virus and Lassa virus. Several potential mechanisms of action have been proposed, but there is limited data supporting them clinically. Methods: We studied 196 HCV-infected participants from a trial of short-course directly antiviral therapy (STOPHCV-1) which included a factorial randomisation to ribavirin versus no ribavirin. Deep sequencing of the HCV genome was performed on samples with detectable viremia from three time-points: baseline (n = 191), day 3 of treatment (n = 25) and post-treatment failure (n = 47). Results: Ribavirin exposure significantly increased total mutational load at treatment failure (P = 0.0065) and enriched classical ribavirin-associated transitions, including G->A (P = 0.026) and C[-&gt;]U (P = 0.004), along with other key changes including A->G (P = 0.005), U->C (P = 0.023), C->G (P = 0.010), and U->A (P = 0.026). The resulting mutational signature was broad, not dominated by G-related changes. Region-specific analyses demonstrated this increase was broadly distributed across the viral genome, without strong evidence for protection of specific regions. Non-synonymous to synonymous mutation ratios (dN/dS) rose at day 3 (P = 5.5e-5) before declining at failure (P = 8.5e-7), with trends toward higher dN/dS in the ribavirin group at day 3 (P = 0.06). Conclusions: Ribavirin acts as a potent in vivo mutagen, driving viral populations toward genome-wide diversity rather than selecting a few highly fit drug-resistant clones. These findings support an error-catastrophe model.

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Life's Essential 8 in Pregnancy and Time to Incident Cardiometabolic Disease Over 7 Years Follow-Up

Francis, E. C.; Patel, S.; Pande, A.; Freedman, A.; Keenan-Devlin, L.; Ernst, L. M.; Barrett, E. S.; Borders, A.; Miller, G. E.; Rawal, S.; Crockett, A.

2026-04-16 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350869 medRxiv
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Importance: Assessment of cardiovascular health (CVH) during may unmask latent metabolic vulnerability and indicate long-term disease risk. However, the prognostic value of the AHA's Life's Essential 8 (LE8) framework during pregnancy remains uncertain. Objective: To evaluate CVH during using a modified Life's Essential 8 (mLE8) score in association with time to incident cardiometabolic disease. Design: Prospective cohort study with electronic medical record (EMR) surveillance for 7 years postpartum (August 2018-March 2026). Adjusted accelerated time-to-failure models estimated mLE8 associations with incident conditions. Setting: A population-based prenatal cohort recruited from a large academic medical system in South Carolina. Participants: Singleton pregnancies in individuals aged 18 to 44 years without pre-existing diabetes or cardiovascular disease (CVD) Exposures: A 7-component mLE8 score assessed during pregnancy, incorporating hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP), 50-g glucose tolerance test results, pre-pregnancy body mass index, smoking status, sleep adequacy, diet quality, and physical activity. Scores ranged from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating more favorable CVH. Main Outcomes and Measures: Post-delivery incident cardiometabolic conditions captured through EMRs and classified as chronic hypertensive conditions, chronic metabolic conditions (e.g., dyslipidemia, impaired glucose regulation), and CVD (e.g. cardiac arrest, cardiomyopathy). Time to incident diagnosis was measured in days from delivery. Results: Among 1,225 pregnancies (mean age, 25.0 [5.3] years), 499 incident cardiometabolic events occurred over a median follow-up of 6.2 (2.8) years. Each 10-point higher mLE8 score was associated with a longer time to incident diagnosis of chronic hypertensive conditions (time ratio [TR], 1.26; 95% CI, 1.11, 1.42) and chronic metabolic conditions (TR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.11, 1.29). Healthier HDP, glucose, BMI, and sleep scores were most strongly associated with longer time to diagnosis of chronic metabolic disease. Results were robust to sensitivity analyses excluding individuals who developed gestational diabetes or HDP. Conclusions and Relevance: In this racially diverse, low-income cohort study of 1,225 pregnancies, better CVH during pregnancy was associated with a longer time to incident post-delivery diagnosis of cardiometabolic conditions. Pregnancy-based CVH assessment may help identify individuals with elevated and emerging cardiometabolic risk who could benefit from early, targeted intervention and enhanced longitudinal surveillance.

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Analytical Choices Impact the Estimation of Rhythmic and Arrhythmic Components of Brain Activity

da Silva Castanheira, J.; Landry, M.; Fleming, S. M.

2026-04-11 neuroscience 10.1101/2025.09.24.678322 medRxiv
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Brain activity comprises both rhythmic (periodic) and arrhythmic (aperiodic) components. These signal elements vary across healthy aging, and disease, and may make distinct contributions to conscious perception. Despite pioneering techniques to parameterize rhythmic and arrhythmic neural components based on power spectra, the methodology for quantifying rhythmic activity remains in its infancy. Previous work has relied on parametric estimates of rhythmic power extracted from specparam, or estimates of rhythmic power obtained after detrending neural spectra. Variation in analytical choices for isolating brain rhythms from background arrhythmic activity makes interpreting findings across studies difficult. Whether these current approaches can accurately recover the independent contribution of these neural signal elements remains to be established. Here, using simulation and parameter recovery approaches, we show that power estimates obtained from detrended spectra conflate these two neurophysiological components, yielding spurious correlations between spectral model parameters. In contrast, modelled rhythmic power obtained from specparam, which detrends the power spectra and parametrizes brain rhythms, independently recovers the rhythmic and arrhythmic components in simulated neural time series, minimising spurious relationships. We validate these methods using resting-state recordings from a large cohort. Based on our findings, we recommend modelled rhythmic power estimates from specparam for the robust independent quantification of rhythmic and arrhythmic signal components for cognitive neuroscience.